insaintee

It' in part because deaths are referred to a coroner and they do not need to come to a conclusion within the two weeks normally given for filling in the death certificate.

Now that's a cheery thought😎

Absolutely, but I have heard some right wing comentators using suice rates to do exactly that, even though there is only at best weak evidence that this is the case. For long periods of the lock down rates appear to have been lower than normal. Again my data is provisional and I have yet to see any that supports the "everyone is killing themselves," message

Suicide rate are a very erratic measure, using month on month or week on week comparisions can be misleading. If you look at the duration of the entire pandemic there have been periods where the rate is highter than the 5 year average and periods when it has been lower.

I have heard anecdotal evidence that suicides are a "major concern," however the data that I have access to does not support an increase. (This is provisional and subject to revision). Also attempts may be up with translating into actual deaths. It bears watching, but there is as yet no evidence I've seen of this spike.

No https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/sport/football/6138358/rangers-alfredo-morelos-future-al-duhail-psg/

He's a mad bastard isn't he

Wee Freddo hinting that he'll be away to Dubai soon

Jim saying today he has funds available to bring in another two players he is now looking at players out of contract and is hopeful of adding to the squad soon. Perhaps this what Moralis was hinting at.

Yeah Shankland and Stewart are two strikers that fill that criteria who were on our books. We need to be a bit less Hamilton Accies

I would suggest that's not quite correct. It has reduced the role of the state in directly supporting citizens. But it has not reduced the role of the government in decision making and controlling social and economic behavior. For example, quantitative easing is basically subsidizing the rich to the tune of billions. Just read your full post yes I think we're agreeing after all.🤣

Yes he definitely can

You seem up set. The paper does say 500,000 but then goes on to say that prediction is unrealistic, it makes a lower estimate based on likely scenarios, The worst case realistic scenario is about half that figure. It you read the paper it makes sense. If you pull out meaningless sound bites then it doesn't. Also we did undertake measures to prevent that worst case. So you cannot say what would have happened if we had not initiated measures to control the virus. Again that figure of 50,000 cases does seem high. I did not see the interview. Was he talking about new cases or active cases? For new cases it sounds high. So far we've not seen anything like that (although I suspect we had a lot more cases than we recorded particularly at Cheltenham). If he's talking about active cases then that might be possible.

It's a top end estimate. of a range of predictions. The working assumptions are based on more than one paper. I'm really not sure what your trying to prove? That we had an intervention and avoided worse case scenarios is surely a good thing.

You would first vaccinate the likely vectors of spread. people that have the most contacts with other people

I get every thing right. You mean this paper I assume. If you read it you will see there is a range of predictions and also we did not have an uncontrolled outbreak. In view of the deaths we've had, an assumption of 250,000 and middle estimate is not an unreasonable guess for what would have happened https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

The experts predicted up to 250,000 deaths if we did nothing with the lower end of that range being between 100,000 and up . The flaw in your argument is that we did something. We still had @50,000 deaths. In a year we normally get @500,000 deaths. And the possibility of a further wave of deaths can't be ruled out.

That's not an Afro, that is a haystack

Think Baird could have done fine for us. However I think it is significant that he has not played for us since a certain league cup game. In which case better for all if he moves on. Goody did single him out as a player he wanted to work with at the start of the season.

Yes please thought Parkin was decent

You can learn something

Forunately it is not you that needs convinced, it public health officials and experts. Not wish to dis your *ahem* scientific credentuals

https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2020-07-08-oxford-covid-19-study-face-masks-and-coverings-work-act-now https://royalsociety.org/-/media/policy/projects/set-c/set-c-facemasks.pdf?la=en-GB&hash=A22A87CB28F7D6AD9BD93BBCBFC2BB24

I'll just leave this here 😎