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How High Can We Finish This Season ?


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On 3/10/2021 at 3:22 PM, portmahomack saint said:

She could.. but I've heard from a very good source, who I can't name. A man famous for revealing exclusive signings in the transfer windows, That Sevco and Septic will be told their season is now over due to Covid breaches by their unruly hoards who can't be trusted, 

The rest of us will carry on as normal and play out the rest of the season,   :rolleyes: 

This would be yet another middle class left attack on the working class.

Make no mistake, that is what lockdown is all about.

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Pessimist view.

                           Aberdeen  Kilmarnock   Hamilton   Ross C   Motherwell   Dundee U   Buddies                        Total Points

Kilmarnock  25                                                         3                  0             3+3                  3                     3                                     40
Hamilton      26                                 0                                          3               3                    3                   3+3                                   41
Ross County 29                                3                      0                                   3                    3                     3                                      41
Motherwell   35                              0+0                    0                  0                                    3                    3                                       41
Dundee Utd  36       3                      0                       0                  0              0                   0                    3                                      42                               
St. Mirren       39                                0                     0+0               0               0                  0                    0                                      39

 

 

Optimist view.

We'll beat Hamilton and this can't happen

 

 

Realist view.

We're now in a situation where we need one win in six games to ensure we can't be relegated.

Edited by stlucifer
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2 minutes ago, stlucifer said:

 

Pessimist view.

                           Aberdeen  Kilmarnock   Hamilton   Ross C   Motherwell   Dundee U   Buddies                        Total Points

Kilmarnock  25                                                         3                  0             3+3                  3                     3                                     40
Hamilton      26                                 0                                          3               3                    3                   3+3                                   44
Ross County 29                                3                      0                                   3                    3                     3                                      41
Motherwell   35                              0+0                    0                  0                                    3                    3                                       41
Dundee Utd  36       3                      0                       0                  0              0                   0                    3                                      42                               
St. Mirren       39                                0                     0+0               0               0                  0                    0                                      39

 

 

Optimist view.

We'll beat Hamilton and this can't happen

 

 

Realist view.

We're now in a situation where we need one win in six games to ensure we can't be relegated.

I am sure that Jim has this pinned on the dressing room wall 😂

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2 hours ago, Cumbriansaint72 said:

Doesn't matter about the perception of what it is by some. It's european footy and quite possibly for us! Shouldn't be any better motivation for our players to push on and get that 5th spot imo. Roll on saturday👍

It would just be like us to pip Livi to 5th and then lose to them in the Scottish Cup Final.

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Certainly shot ourselves in the foot this season, I think that if we'd handled the Covid situation better, not losing all three keepers and then having to play 5 consecutive midweek games in February we'd probably have picked up that extra point.

That said we've got to fight to retain 7th place as both Utd. & Well could go past us.

Heads up and we can still make it a decent season...

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On 2/12/2021 at 4:07 PM, Tommy said:

With the injuries, i would just settle for 9th at the moment.

Hamilton, Ross C and Killie to be the 3 teams below us. 

 

I will stick by my guess 6 weeks ago. 

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22 minutes ago, elvis said:

Might be 11 th still need 4 points to avoid that

Dear Elvis,

We have 40 points at present.

If we were to lose all remaining 5 games.

Scenario 1.

if Accies win all their 5 games they will have 42 points. 

Then if Kilmarnock win 4, as they will have lost to Hamilton, they will have 40 points . Same as us if we lost all our games. Killie could be above us on goal difference.

Then if Ross County won 3 games ( remember they have been beaten by Accies and Killie) they will have 38 points. 

Then if Motherwell won 2 games (they were beaten by Accies, Killie, and Ross County) they would have 41 points.

Then Dundee Utd were only to beat us having lost to the other 4 teams they would have 42 points.

In the above scenario we could be in the play off spot on goal difference with Ross County below us.

Scenario 2.

If Killie win all 5 games they have 43 points.

If Hamilton win 4 having been beat by Kilmarnock they would achieve 39 points.

Then if Ross County win 3 games again they can only achieve 38 points.

In the above scenario we would not be in the play off or relegation spot.

Scenario 3.

If Ross County win all 5 games they can achieve 44 points.

Again Killie can achieve 40 points by winning their 4 games.

Hamilton can then only achieve 36 points by winning 3 games.

Motherwell could win 2 games and have 41 points.

Utd could win one game and have 42 points.

So potentially we could be in the playoffs by goal difference.

Scenario 4.

Killie draw with Hamilton and both win their other 4 games.

Killie have 41 points. Hamilton have 40. Hamilton could be above us on goal difference for the playoff space. Ross County would be below on 38 points at most.

Scenario 5.

Hamilton draw with Ross County and both win their other 4 games. 

Hamilton finish with 40 points. Ross County have 42 points. Most Killie can achieve is 37 points.

We could be in the playoffs on goal difference.

Scenario 6.

Killie draw with Ross County and both win their remaining games.

Ross county finish with 42 points and Killie finish with 41 points.

Hamilton can only achieve 36 points.

Motherwell could get 41 points and Dundee Utd could get 42.

We would be in the playoffs with 40 points.

Scenario 7.

Hamilton draw with Dundee Utd and win all other games and have 40 points.

Kilmarnock win their 4 games and have 40 points.

Ross County win their 3 games and have 38 points.

Motherwell can win 2 and end up with 41 points by beating us and Utd.

Utd beat us and with the draw have 43 points.

 

I cannot calculate any scenario that has us bottom of the league.

 

Are yer glad I’m back?


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, E=Mc2 said:

Dear Elvis,

We have 40 points at present.

If we were to lose all remaining 5 games.

Scenario 1.

if Accies win all their 5 games they will have 42 points. 

Then if Kilmarnock win 4, as they will have lost to Hamilton, they will have 40 points . Same as us if we lost all our games. Killie could be above us on goal difference.

Then if Ross County won 3 games ( remember they have been beaten by Accies and Killie) they will have 38 points. 

Then if Motherwell won 2 games (they were beaten by Accies, Killie, and Ross County) they would have 41 points.

Then Dundee Utd were only to beat us having lost to the other 4 teams they would have 42 points.

In the above scenario we could be in the play off spot on goal difference with Ross County below us.

Scenario 2.

If Killie win all 5 games they have 43 points.

If Hamilton win 4 having been beat by Kilmarnock they would achieve 39 points.

Then if Ross County win 3 games again they can only achieve 38 points.

In the above scenario we would not be in the play off or relegation spot.

Scenario 3.

If Ross County win all 5 games they can achieve 44 points.

Again Killie can achieve 40 points by winning their 4 games.

Hamilton can then only achieve 36 points by winning 3 games.

Motherwell could win 2 games and have 41 points.

Utd could win one game and have 42 points.

So potentially we could be in the playoffs by goal difference.

Scenario 4.

Killie draw with Hamilton and both win their other 4 games.

Killie have 41 points. Hamilton have 40. Hamilton could be above us on goal difference for the playoff space. Ross County would be below on 38 points at most.

Scenario 5.

Hamilton draw with Ross County and both win their other 4 games. 

Hamilton finish with 40 points. Ross County have 42 points. Most Killie can achieve is 37 points.

We could be in the playoffs on goal difference.

Scenario 6.

Killie draw with Ross County and both win their remaining games.

Ross county finish with 42 points and Killie finish with 41 points.

Hamilton can only achieve 36 points.

Motherwell could get 41 points and Dundee Utd could get 42.

We would be in the playoffs with 40 points.

Scenario 7.

Hamilton draw with Dundee Utd and win all other games and have 40 points.

Kilmarnock win their 4 games and have 40 points.

Ross County win their 3 games and have 38 points.

Motherwell can win 2 and end up with 41 points by beating us and Utd.

Utd beat us and with the draw have 43 points.

 

I cannot calculate any scenario that has us bottom of the league.

 

Are yer glad I’m back?


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

It isn't rocket science. Einstein not required. I think I'd already explained this far more concisely before today's result.

Edited by stlucifer
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