insaintee

That's absolutely correct, if this was modelling (as may well have been in other circumstances) a sexually transmitted disease, we would know perfectly well that the population does not have a "uniform pairing rate" which is a basic assumption of most of these models. However, the model will be based on the average no of transmissions per person. It is difficult but not impossible to factor in non-uniform transmission rates and time dependent transmission rates, fairly easy, but the parameters you would use would be pure guess work. What the graphs do show is what is happening right now. And that is both important and useful for understanding what is going on and what steps we should be taking. It will also let us know when and if our measures are having an effect.

research

The St Mirren V Hearts game was thee last domestic football game played in Scotland. I wonder if anyone who attended this game and has subsequently developed symptoms and /or have had a diagnosis could you respond to the survey below. All information will be treated in absolute confidence. https://www.surveymonkey.co.uk/r/CD7LZ7Q A big thank you in advance for your help.

Ok, this was the last domestic football game played in Scotland. I wonder if anyone who attended this game and has subsequently developed symptoms and /or have had a diagnosis could you respond to the survey below. All information will be treated in absolute confidence. https://www.surveymonkey.co.uk/r/CD7LZ7Q A big thank you in advance for your help.

Pinpointing the source and linking it to the workplace will be almost impossible. But showing negligence wouldn't

no if they're deid

To be perfectly frank, our response is not that much different. Arguably a bit slow in implementing various measures, but ultimately the measures are the same. The Imperial collage paper uses the worst case scenarios and compares two different timings of response. The only thing mildly controversial is a suggested delay in closing schools and universities which the universities and some local authorities'devolved administrations took out of Government hands anyway.

Cerainly in your house 😃 But we did see a breaking of the ranks in advice given, I think it's fair to say the UK policy has been nudged at the very least by SG announcements.

Absolutely, the difference between 200,000 and 1000 is huge. But either scenario is not insignificant. I think I will go a little baysian and say I am 95% certain there will be more than 1000 deaths.

For context simple models show that Covid-19 could potential (worst case scenario) result in 200,000 death over a year, a likely scenario is about 10,000 deaths. (there are loads of predictions out there take you pick) Each year 500,000 deaths occur in the UK all causes. Even a modest prediction would be around 1,000 deaths.

Dickson is "pipefitter"😉

Ewww No, something are better not known.

The only precedent was the 39/40 season which was annulled. Admittedly the season was only 5 games in compared to the current standings. Wait don the rangers want to claim that title?

Those would also be cancelled under these rules

I think she does have the authority to make that decision in a Scottish context. However, she is unlikely to ignore Cobra advice.

No I think the mathematician regretted the kings laughter. It's a great story of how normal rules do not always apply.

It ended up with the mathematician getting an axe to the forehead or something similar

Hibees are top boys

Rangers are died mate

Dick Dicks IMHO

Nah, I'd like hearts to go down

Not disputing this but King Billy died too and the bigots still march down the streets

I understand why peopld don't like most newbuild facades, especially when compared to Victorian or Edwardian buildings. But the fact is that to build is stolid load bearing masonry is prohibitively expensive and has very poor thermal properties. Brick skins, and stone cladding never quite give the visual appeal of the traditional technique. But basically your options are build in a modern style or don't build at all. I do think this is a mock up and the actual facade might be better, but ultimately it is not going to look any different from a thousand other new build scheme in the same idiom. And to be fair, there is not much between the corner of causwayside and the old bingo hall facade that is worth keeping

Aye... And then there is Elvis

I've notice the pies dont sell out so quickly of late