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insaintee

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Everything posted by insaintee

  1. No https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/sport/football/6138358/rangers-alfredo-morelos-future-al-duhail-psg/
  2. Wee Freddo hinting that he'll be away to Dubai soon
  3. Jim saying today he has funds available to bring in another two players he is now looking at players out of contract and is hopeful of adding to the squad soon. Perhaps this what Moralis was hinting at.
  4. Yeah Shankland and Stewart are two strikers that fill that criteria who were on our books. We need to be a bit less Hamilton Accies
  5. I would suggest that's not quite correct. It has reduced the role of the state in directly supporting citizens. But it has not reduced the role of the government in decision making and controlling social and economic behavior. For example, quantitative easing is basically subsidizing the rich to the tune of billions. Just read your full post yes I think we're agreeing after all.🤣
  6. You seem up set. The paper does say 500,000 but then goes on to say that prediction is unrealistic, it makes a lower estimate based on likely scenarios, The worst case realistic scenario is about half that figure. It you read the paper it makes sense. If you pull out meaningless sound bites then it doesn't. Also we did undertake measures to prevent that worst case. So you cannot say what would have happened if we had not initiated measures to control the virus. Again that figure of 50,000 cases does seem high. I did not see the interview. Was he talking about new cases or active cases? For new cases it sounds high. So far we've not seen anything like that (although I suspect we had a lot more cases than we recorded particularly at Cheltenham). If he's talking about active cases then that might be possible.
  7. It's a top end estimate. of a range of predictions. The working assumptions are based on more than one paper. I'm really not sure what your trying to prove? That we had an intervention and avoided worse case scenarios is surely a good thing.
  8. You would first vaccinate the likely vectors of spread. people that have the most contacts with other people
  9. I get every thing right. You mean this paper I assume. If you read it you will see there is a range of predictions and also we did not have an uncontrolled outbreak. In view of the deaths we've had, an assumption of 250,000 and middle estimate is not an unreasonable guess for what would have happened https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
  10. The experts predicted up to 250,000 deaths if we did nothing with the lower end of that range being between 100,000 and up . The flaw in your argument is that we did something. We still had @50,000 deaths. In a year we normally get @500,000 deaths. And the possibility of a further wave of deaths can't be ruled out.
  11. That's not an Afro, that is a haystack
  12. Think Baird could have done fine for us. However I think it is significant that he has not played for us since a certain league cup game. In which case better for all if he moves on. Goody did single him out as a player he wanted to work with at the start of the season.
  13. Yes please thought Parkin was decent
  14. Forunately it is not you that needs convinced, it public health officials and experts. Not wish to dis your *ahem* scientific credentuals
  15. https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2020-07-08-oxford-covid-19-study-face-masks-and-coverings-work-act-now https://royalsociety.org/-/media/policy/projects/set-c/set-c-facemasks.pdf?la=en-GB&hash=A22A87CB28F7D6AD9BD93BBCBFC2BB24
  16. I'll just leave this here 😎
  17. In that case there are no facts. In fact there are no facts in science hence you get climate change deniers and the like
  18. Still hurting from being made to look an ass. My suggestion is stop acting like an ass.
  19. It implys causatiion. https://www.cambridge.org/gb/academic/subjects/life-sciences/ecology-and-conservation/cause-and-correlation-biology-users-guide-path-analysis-structural-equations-and-causal-inference-r-2nd-edition?format=PB Either 1. It's a statistical artifact (which should not be the case if statisical tests are applied) 2 There is a spurious relationship. A third factor is controling both factors (should not be the case if a proper controls are included in design e,g. in a multi-variate regression model. 3. There is a indirect relationship. Which means that a third variable sits between to the two others in the system and that variance in the control variable influences the intermediate variable which in turn influences the output varible. (in effect this is just the same as a direct relationship) 4, A direct relationship. Good too see you recognising the limits of the scientific method
  20. I also refer you to the paper supplied earlier.
  21. Yes it is. If people have conducted Case control and cohort studies that is evidence
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