You said................the section below.
So I'm not taking it seriously?
I've been looking, and quoting, facts.
You have continually preferred the worst case scenario, even backing up LPM who was predicting hundreds of thousands of deaths in the UK alone.
You prefer a "look how good I am" approach, confidently predicting wild numbers which I said straight away didn't stack up.
I've been proved correct, you, again, are tragically wrong, and by quite a margin.
Oh yes, you used Italy, at the time the WORST hit country, as a comparison.
They have flattened out, you predicted we'd be on over 3,000 a day within the next few days.
You're predictions fell on their arse after a few days, see below.
Now, you clearly INDICATE people who don't agree with you might see things your way IF this tragedy AFFECTED THEIR family, absolutely shocking but it shows you'd rather people had some personal tragedy than admit you're so far up your own numbers your incapable of thinking if they are likely.
You also try to put people down if they don't agree and they don't understand your graphs., another sign
I have continually said let's wait and see without making predictions, one way or the other.
Right, my predictions for daily deaths based on the current trend are as follows for the next week or so are:
29th Mar - 279 Fact 209
30th Mar - 362 Fact 180
31st Mar - 469 Fact 381
1st Apr - 608 Fact 563
2nd Apr - 789 Fact 569
3rd Apr - 1023 Fact 684
4th Apr - 1327 Fact 708
5th Apr - 1721
6th Apr - 2232
7th Apr - 2895
8th Apr - 3755
At this point YOU PREDICTED 4,857, the facts are 3,294, a massive difference of 1,563, that's 32% OVER STATED.
Below was my immediate response to your pointless, and massively inaccurate, graph.
This would take the death toll to 16,479 by 8th April, 11 days.
The total worldwide right now is sitting at 28,800, which will, obviously rise over the same period.
Italy is sitting on 9,134 excluding today, we are just over 1,000 when the first cases started within a day of each other.
I'm not getting into your graph, just the facts don't, IMO, support your figures continually rising at the same rate.
You, I think, originally said 3,000 per day on 6th April, now that's moved to 7th/8th April.
As I've said, time will tell but it would take some going to massively overtake the Italians.