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The Referendum Thread


Lanarkshire_Bud

Scottish Independence Referendum  

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I'm not suggesting what media you should watch. As a Yes voter, I was dissapointed with a few media outlets, and all I stated was that if someone felt the same then don't give them the viewing/reading figures. The same goes if someone feels that some businesses were inappropiately scaremongering, you can take your business elsewhere. If you feel that the media was fine and the businesses acted in a proper manner during the debates, then that's fine.

I'm not blaming any particular group of people. Out of the 100% of people that voted, 55% wanted to remain in the Union. The majority spoke and that decision I accept. However, as someone who favours leaving the Union, it gives me hope that it can be achieved in 10, 20 years time as the statistic show that the younger generation were seen to be voting yes, and the 65+ were seen to be voting no (which I can understand as many would have ties to the Union from years ago - the younger generation don't have that kind of feeling)

Dear Tam M, can I just throw a few figures in regarding the 65+ voters influence on the outcome of the vote.

I have been unable to find figures for the total number of 65+ who voted.

I do have the figures for the percentage of the total of registered voters who are 65+ And that is 16.8%.

If we were to assume 16.8% of the total votes cast were from 65+ then there were 608,146 votes cast by the 65+.

How the 65+ votes totalled with the 73% No and 27% yes as suggested by the Ashcroft poll may have been as follows,

Yes 164,199

No 443,946

If the 65+ vote was not included then the result would have been,

Yes 1,453,790

No 1,557,980

Still a No win by 104,190 votes.

And, may I add, that even if the 65+ vote were excluded my vote still counted.

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Apparently new legislation is being drafted by the SNP as we speak, for over 65s to recieve a free holiday to a purpose built spa resort in Switzerland , however it will be means tested, and it will be piloted first in all areas except, Glasgow, west Dunbartonshire, Dundee , inverclyde and North Lanarkshire.

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Apparently new legislation is being drafted by the SNP as we speak, for over 65s to recieve a free holiday to a purpose built spa resort in Switzerland , however it will be means tested, and it will be piloted first in all areas except, Glasgow, west Dunbartonshire, Dundee , inverclyde and North Lanarkshire.

Quite right to, my mum & dad will be over the moon when they return from their 3rd holiday in Spain this year. whistling.gif

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Dear Tam M, can I just throw a few figures in regarding the 65+ voters influence on the outcome of the vote.

I have been unable to find figures for the total number of 65+ who voted.

I do have the figures for the percentage of the total of registered voters who are 65+ And that is 16.8%.

If we were to assume 16.8% of the total votes cast were from 65+ then there were 608,146 votes cast by the 65+.

How the 65+ votes totalled with the 73% No and 27% yes as suggested by the Ashcroft poll may have been as follows,

Yes 164,199

No 443,946

If the 65+ vote was not included then the result would have been,

Yes 1,453,790

No 1,557,980

Still a No win by 104,190 votes.

And, may I add, that even if the 65+ vote were excluded my vote still counted.

Lies, damned lies and statistics right enough.......

You've forgotten to factor in the teenagers who'll replace the 65+ voters. Don't know the number (and can't be arsed trying to find it) but I suspect it would be enough to make the difference and swing things to Yes.

:)

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Lies, damned lies and statistics right enough.......

You've forgotten to factor in the teenagers who'll replace the 65+ voters. Don't know the number (and can't be arsed trying to find it) but I suspect it would be enough to make the difference and swing things to Yes.

smile.png

Even more lies, damned lies and statistics right enough...

You've forgotten to factor in that the teenagers who voted this time will be more mature and grown up in by the time the next referendum comes around and will be more likely to vote no. thumbup2.gif

Of course, for there to ever be a referendum, the SNP needs to win a majority of MPs again at Holyrood. That will be a tough ask. The Unionist parties now have the selling point of voting against the SNP to avoid another referendum and the advantage that no voters are more likely to vote in 'normal' elections than yes voters.

As an example, Perth is an SNP stronghold with SNP MP, MSPs & a council. Yet Perth voted heavily no. Folk will be much less likely to vote SNP in future knowing the consequences and another referendum.

biggrin.png

Edited by Phil McCracken
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How many people that actually voted no did so on the "vow". I personally think this is being overhyped and think it was in the Yes side's game plan in the event of a No vote. I heard them on the BBC show ~6am on the result day saying that they only lost due to the extra powers coming to Scotland. I really don't buy it, the "Vow" was a bit of panic reaction very late in the day when some of the polls got down to 50/50.

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Collectively?

As the 45 "twibbon" campaign shows... there is no will for unity... just a misplaced sense of injustice and an unwillingness to accept a democratic decision.

Ditch the 45 and 55...

When I see 100% I will believe "collectively" is possible.

Right now though... 45 is a divisive campaign!

Very much so - what do they want, keep having votes every 30 years in order to get the result THEY want and then, when the get it put the issue to bed forever?

Mind, if the next vote is in 30 years time the oil will be drying up so not sure what will pay for the milk and honey?

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How many people that actually voted no did so on the "vow". I personally think this is being overhyped and think it was in the Yes side's game plan in the event of a No vote. I heard them on the BBC show ~6am on the result day saying that they only lost due to the extra powers coming to Scotland. I really don't buy it, the "Vow" was a bit of panic reaction very late in the day when some of the polls got down to 50/50.

Good point, it seems to be that the YES support see this as the be all and end all.

It certainly wasn't in my thoughts when I placed my vote.

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Collectively?

As the 45 "twibbon" campaign shows... there is no will for unity... just a misplaced sense of injustice and an unwillingness to accept a democratic decision.

Ditch the 45 and 55...

When I see 100% I will believe "collectively" is possible.

Right now though... 45 is a divisive campaign!

Yeah I know that No voters would love it if Yes simply went away and "accepted" being financially controlled for ever but I'm afraid that isn't going to happen - the result was too close and the losing side feel they were cheated and lied out of a legitimate win.

It really should be no surprise that the 45 are angry after the tactics used against us combined with the smug twattery afterwards as displayed on this thread and elsewhere. You need to accept that people will take time to vent.

You can't spend 2 years emotionally involved in something and then forget it overnight.

As I said before, one side REALLY needed to win this by 60% or more.

In fairness the only thing worse than a reasonably narrow win for No would have been an arse-clenchingly tight win for Yes but we are where we are.

There will be a period where the 45% will vent and then when that subsides you'll see a new campaign starting up.

8000 new SNP members and 2000 new Green members should be an indication of that.

Doesn't sound like anyone is giving up anytime soon.

Enjoy your win folks but don't expect silence from the other side.

This will be a repeating pattern until we win independence or we drop below 40%-ish in terms of the vote.

No point closing this thread, we're guaranteed to be back here and don't expect it to be 25 years either.

I suspect perhaps 10 years is more realistic depending on how much further Westminster can f**k up our country.

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Lies, damned lies and statistics right enough.......

You've forgotten to factor in the teenagers who'll replace the 65+ voters. Don't know the number (and can't be arsed trying to find it) but I suspect it would be enough to make the difference and swing things to Yes.

:)

I'm not predicting with regard to a future vote, only the results of the vote just past.

Of course folks opinions change over time and if the politicians have their way today's 16 -17 year olds will never be able to retire.

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Guest TPAFKATS

Good point, it seems to be that the YES support see this as the be all and end all.

It certainly wasn't in my thoughts when I placed my vote.

The significance of the 'vow' is that is was made during the last weekend campaign as the union was shitting itself. There wouldn't have been a need for it otherwise.

I certainly don't think that it made all no voters choose that option. Some like Dickson and the loyalists would always have voted no. A significant amount of votets were swayed as they were sold a promise of devo max, which was never actually devo max. 12 hours after the polls closed they quickly realised that it wasn't a promise either.

The difference between a yes instead of no victory, was only just over 5%, not a lot who needed to be swayed.

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Very much so - what do they want, keep having votes every 30 years in order to get the result THEY want and then, when the get it put the issue to bed forever?

Mind, if the next vote is in 30 years time the oil will be drying up so not sure what will pay for the milk and honey?

The cows and bees will supply the milk and honey for free.

We only need to buy the cows and bees.

Simples.

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Guest TPAFKATS

Amen fellow 100% er!

We should be united in our drive for home rule for Scotland Wales and NI and increased devolution in England's regions... and the abolition of the unconstitutional House of Lords.

No reason why those who dream of Independence can't continue to work towards that dream... but using tge aforementioned as a stepping stone!

How's that House of Lords abolition coming along though?

Labour claim to want this but haven't done it in 90 years.

Westmonster is just different shades of the same shite.

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One of the most important ' stats' is that the percentage of people who want independence has gone up from 25% to 45% in less than five years!

Other important stats, no campaign had £2.6 million to spend , the yes £1.8 million.

The no campaign had countless billionaires , the yes campaign had two lottery winners and two homegrown tycoons

The no campaign had countless heads of state from across the world, yes had Kim Jong -un apparently.

The no campaign had the BBC, SKY, ITV and countless news papers , we had the herald .

To be honest I think it's a bit of a miracle that we took it so close, and if you ever feel that all is lost, just remember the story of Robert the Bruce and the wee spider in the cave......

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One of the most important ' stats' is that the percentage of people who want independence has gone up from 25% to 45% in less than five years!

Other important stats, no campaign had £2.6 million to spend , the yes £1.8 million.

The no campaign had countless billionaires , the yes campaign had two lottery winners and two homegrown tycoons

The no campaign had countless heads of state from across the world, yes had Kim Jong -un apparently.

The no campaign had the BBC, SKY, ITV and countless news papers , we had the herald .

To be honest I think it's a bit of a miracle that we took it so close, and if you ever feel that all is lost, just remember the story of Robert the Bruce and the wee spider in the cave......

George monbiot of the guardian shares your view

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/16/media-shafted-people-scotland-journalists

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It's an opinion on what he sees as a reason, but where does he apportion blame?

True "blame" is too strong a word.

I apologise.

May I refer the right honourable gentle to the post that uses the same poll results as that which, I believe, gave Tam M his opinion, and that shows that if all the votes cast by the 65+ were removed the result would still have been a No.

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How many people that actually voted no did so on the "vow". I personally think this is being overhyped and think it was in the Yes side's game plan in the event of a No vote. I heard them on the BBC show ~6am on the result day saying that they only lost due to the extra powers coming to Scotland. I really don't buy it, the "Vow" was a bit of panic reaction very late in the day when some of the polls got down to 50/50.

I think the vow, coupled with previous assertions of more powers probably accounted for anything from 2-5% of a late swing

Living in Fife, i can tell you that Brown's intervention on THAT bandwagon took a huge amount of voters over to NO

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True "blame" is too strong a word.

I apologise.

May I refer the right honourable gentle to the post that uses the same poll results as that which, I believe, gave Tam M his opinion, and that shows that if all the votes cast by the 65+ were removed the result would still have been a No.

I think tam realises that emotion probably led him to make too much of the over 65s vote

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